Justice Barrett’s concurrence in McCraw made it much less probably that decrease courts will grant administrative stays earlier than a deserves panel holds oral argument. And, it seems, the administrative stays from the Fifth Circuit weren’t coming from the Courtroom’s trumpiest judges. Earlier than the ink even dried on the Supreme Courtroom’s shadow docket order, the Fifth Circuit panel (Richman, Oldham, Ramirez) swooped into motion. First, on Tuesday afternoon, the panel set oral argument for Wednesday morning (it’s ongoing as I sort). This oral argument is simply on the query of whether or not a keep ought to be granted pending enchantment. A merit-stage oral argument is about for April 3. Second, the panel dissolved the momentary administrative keep over Decide Oldham’s dissent. I believe the writing is on the wall, and this panel is not going to grant a keep pending enchantment. It’s doable the en banc court docket can override this resolution. Chief Decide Richman, in keeping with my 2022 count, is much from the median voter on the Fifth Circuit. However the Fifth Circuit might let this one linger for normal en banc overview.
Going ahead, I am unsure if Justice Barrett’s concurrence could have the impact that she supposed. Let’s spin out two eventualities. First, the place a district court docket decide in Austin guidelines in opposition to Texas. Second, the place a district court docket decide in Amarillo guidelines in opposition to the federal authorities. In each eventualities, if Justice Barrett’s strategy is adopted, the courts are much less more likely to enter administrative stays for any prolonged length. And, the typical Fifth Circuit panel would in all probability grant a keep within the case from Austin, and deny the keep within the case from Amarillo. What’s the impact? Extra emergency purposes arriving on the Supreme Courtroom filed by the Division of Justice. Sure, in an try to tighten the screws on the shadow docket, Justice Barrett probably made the shadow docket much more lively.
What’s going to the end result be? Paradoxically sufficient, Circuit Justice Alito might be compelled to enter a endless sequence of administrative stays which can be prolonged as wanted to digest difficult instances, which is what occurred in McCraw. The Justices might be in the identical place because the Fifth Circuit judges who’re struggling to deal with the torrent of emergency litigation. The shadow docket giveth, and the shadow docket taketh away.