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Striking across the Russian border is critical to Ukraine’s survival

ohog5 by ohog5
June 23, 2024
in Politics
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Striking across the Russian border is critical to Ukraine’s survival
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Russia launched a reinvasion of Kharkiv oblast in mid-Could, quickly pushing throughout the Ukraine border and threatening to advance on Kharkiv metropolis. After pushing for about 6 kilometers, advancing Russian forces bumped into stiff opposition from Ukrainian defenses and their preliminary dash slowed to a crawl. Two weeks later, President Joe Biden gave Ukraine permission to make use of U.S.-made weapons on targets simply throughout the border within the Belgorod space of Russia, and that appeared to genuinely flip the tide.

Ukraine has halted Russia’s advance throughout this revived entrance and regained territory in a number of cities or villages, together with the crucial crossroads city of Vovchansk.

However at the same time as Russia ran up one other hideous tally of misplaced males and machines, a brand new tactic has turn into extra dominant. Russia could also be briefly provide of refined missiles and its ships might have been essentially eliminated from the Black Sea, nevertheless it has a seemingly endless provide of glide bombs. Now it’s utilizing these bombs to completely pulverize any Ukrainian village, city, or metropolis it could possibly attain from airfields inside Russia.

As NPR reports, glide bombs are hanging one after one other within the Kharkiv area. Carrying as much as 6,600 kilos of excessive explosives, the bombs can devastate a complete metropolis block. Russia used 3,200 glide bombs in Could—and the tempo solely appears to be rising.

x

The one factor I can say concerning the battle for Vovchansk — that’s solely the start.

I feel we now have right here a brand new «file» — 13 guided bombs (KAB) for one hour.

It’s arduous for them proper now to cease our advance and they’re deploying new forces. About that and extra beneath🧵 pic.twitter.com/F7Oum2OcjL

— Kriegsforscher (@OSINTua) June 18, 2024

Fighters on the ground in Kharkiv report that Russia has steeply decreased the variety of tanks and armored autos it’s utilizing. As a substitute, flippantly supported infantry teams are shifting with glide bombs clearing their means.

Not solely are these glide bombs hitting positions close to the entrance line, they’re being utilized in Kharkiv and different cities away from the fast motion. The glide bombs can attain a lot farther into Ukrainian territory than Russian artillery or MLRS.

This isn’t solely taking place in Kharkiv. It’s taking place all over the place.

Russia’s deployment of heavy artillery as a method of clearing attainable defensive positions whereas its infantry engaged in wave assaults has been learn as a “scorched earth tactic” because the unlawful invasion started. However that time period is being revived in reference to glide bombs as Russia rolls out a whole bunch of huge explosives every day alongside the entrance. They’re getting used like artillery, however the outcomes are bigger and extra fast. In a matter of days, glide bombs have decreased Vovchansk to the sort of rubble that resulted from weeks of preventing in Bakhmut, Severodonetsk, or different cities on the japanese border. 

Glide bombs eradicated the final Ukrainian positions in Avdiivka. They’re additionally flattening buildings across the city of Chasiv Yar, southwest of Bakhmut, the place Russian forces have been attempting to seize a place of excessive floor from resilient Ukrainian troops below nearly fixed assault for weeks.

The rising use of those bombs and their rising significance to Russian army ways means Ukraine’s potential to achieve throughout the border and cease these bombs earlier than they’re launched would be the make-or-break feature of the following few months.

Now, Russia is placing the ending touches on yet one more airstrip lower than 60 miles (100 kilometers) from Ukraine and launching the bombs routinely from a number of bases simply inside Russian borders, in response to the AP evaluation of satellite tv for pc photos and pictures from a Russian aviation Telegram channel.

If it looks as if a variety of Ukraine’s drone exercise previously few weeks has been centered on targeting Russian airbases, that is why. Ukrainian forces might have held tight in opposition to a sudden Russian reinvasion throughout the northern border, defenders could also be digging deep at Chasiv Yar, and Ukraine could also be placing the brakes on Russian advances alongside the highway west of Novooleksandrivka, however they’ll’t do that below a continuing rain of huge bombs. 

The glide bombs aren’t refined, trendy, and even very correct, they usually don’t must be. They’re simply massive. And so they appear to be the one Russian weapon that may’t be stopped by very intelligent Ukrainian operators flying FPV drones.

Ukraine has to have the power to outrange these bombs; to cease the planes which might be lofting them earlier than they take off; or to take the planes down earlier than the bombs may be launched. A part of what they’ve wanted is straightforward permission. And now they have it.

The U.S. has instructed Ukraine it could possibly use American-supplied weapons to hit any Russian forces attacking from throughout the border — not simply these within the area close to Kharkiv, in response to U.S. officers.

That’s improbable. Now can be a good time for a number of F-16s to place in an look.


Writer and editor Michael Weiss spoke with a bunch of aviation specialists to clarify a thriller: Why does Russia maintain bombing itself with glide bombs? What he realized was that the conversion of dumb bomb to good bomb is way from excellent.

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Aviation professional: “The package that makes the FAB a ‘good’ bomb is usually defective. More than likely it is not airtight and made out of the mistaken sort of steel, i.e. one thing aside from duraluminium. This implies the digital parts are open to humidity and chilly temperatures. Therefore the…

— Michael Weiss (@michaeldweiss) June 20, 2024

Sadly, Russia doesn’t have the sort of leaders which might be going to cease simply because they dropped a number of dozen bombs on their very own civilian inhabitants.


Let’s hope that is true. As a result of South Korean tools for Ukraine can be a lot better than the North Korean materials Russia is getting.

x

South Korea is reconsidering sending arms to Ukraine, per Yonhap Information.

This follows Putin’s go to to North Korea earlier this week, signing a brand new Russia-North Korea protection pact. pic.twitter.com/4Aaq5RXGHk

— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) June 20, 2024





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