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Elon Musk Lost a Bet That COVID Would Quickly Fade, and What He Did Next Says a Lot About Him as a Person

ohog5 by ohog5
January 17, 2025
in Tech
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Elon Musk Lost a Bet That COVID Would Quickly Fade, and What He Did Next Says a Lot About Him as a Person
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There’s “one thing significantly incorrect together with his ethical compass, if not his notion of actuality.”

Good friend to Foe

Throughout the early days of the COVID pandemic, Elon Musk misplaced a guess to a longtime good friend — and apparently took the loss extremely poorly, in what feels like an early warning signal of his now near-permanent state of self-humiliation.

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That now ex-friend, podcaster-philsopher Sam Harris, is lastly revealing how the wager led to them dramatically falling out.

The petty saga is a case examine in how, in Harris’ view, Musk has completely modified as an individual — and for the more serious. In sum: being chronically on-line melted Elon’s mind.

“The good friend I bear in mind didn’t appear to starvation for public consideration.” Harris wrote in a post on his Substack. “However his engagement with Twitter/X reworked him.”

“Let this be a cautionary story for any of Elon’s buddies who is likely to be tempted to inform the good man one thing he would not wish to hear,” he added.

COVID Thoughts Virus

It began again in March 2020, when the coronavirus was taking maintain within the US. “The coronavirus panic is dumb,” Musk tweeted on the time.

Harris thought this was irresponsible and that it’d damage Elon’s repute, so he reached out to his good friend in a personal textual content. “You’ve gotten an unlimited platform, and far of the world appears to you as an authority on all issues technical,” Harris cautioned.

Elon’s response was jarring: “Sam, you of all individuals shouldn’t be involved with this.” The billionaire linked to a web page on the CDC web site indicating that COVID was not among the many prime 100 causes of dying within the US. 

“This was a patently foolish level to make within the first days of a pandemic,” Harris wrote on his Substack.

After hours of texting, neither noticed eye to eye. However they did agree on a guess. Musk guess donating $1 million to charity towards a $1,000 bottle of tequila that COVID instances within the US wouldn’t exceed 35,000.

“The phrases of the guess mirrored what was, in his estimation, the close to certainty (1000 to 1) that he was proper,” Harris stated.

Podcaster Scorned

Clearly, this didn’t age effectively. Only a few weeks later, the CDC reported 35,000 deaths — and 600,000 instances. A triumphant Harris texted Musk, “Is (35,000 deaths + 600,000 instances) > 35,000 instances?”

Musk by no means replied.

“This textual content seems to have ended our friendship,” Harris wrote, and Musk “started maligning me on Twitter.” (A small sampling: Harris is “actually not that smart,” an “utter idiot,” is “irrationality personified.”)

That is even supposing the 2 of them agree on a bevy of political points, Harris claims. “The issue with Elon, is that he makes no effort to get his info straight when discussing any of those subjects.”

“Any dispassionate observer of Elon’s behavior on Twitter/X can see that there’s something significantly incorrect together with his ethical compass, if not his perception of reality,” Harris concluded. “There’s merely no excuse for an individual together with his abilities, sources, and alternatives to create a lot pointless noise.”

Extra on Elon Musk: Without Evidence, Elon Musk Says He’s Saved Thousands of Lives in LA Wildfires



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