A brand new Fox Information Ballot reveals Kamala Harris main Donald Trump 51%-48 within the important battleground state of Georgia.
Harris receives 51% assist to Trumpâs 48% amongst each registered and sure voters. Whereas her benefit could also be slender (contained in the margin of error), it’s regular. Final month, she was up 50-48% amongst registered voters.
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Extra Georgians see Harris because the candidate who will assist the center class and defend democracy by a 7-point margin on every. She can be seen because the candidate extra prone to battle “for folks such as you” by 6 factors. Harrisâ largest lead is on dealing with the problem of abortion, the place she is favored by 18 factors. Trumpâs largest lead is on dealing with immigration (+15 factors).
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The 2 candidates are rated extra intently on bringing wanted change (Harris by 4 factors), making the nation secure (Trump +3), and dealing with the economic system (Trump +4). His benefit on the economic system in the present day is half what it was final month.
With the economic system shortly bettering, Trump’s huge lead has vanished on that subject, which is why he has leaned so exhausting into immigration, which is the one subject the place he nonetheless has a transparent lead.
By no means learn too a lot into one ballot, however Harris victories in Georgia and North Carolina can be lights out for Trump. Pennsylvania wouldn’t matter to the result, and Harris may even lose Arizona and would nonetheless win the election.
I’ve not been a bullish on Harris’s potential to flip North Carolina as some others, but when the Vice President had been to maintain Georgia blue, it could give her a path to the presidency even when she misplaced Pennsylvania, Arizona, and North Carolina.
The explanation why it’s higher to be Kamala Harris than Donald Trump proper now’s that she has extra paths to victory than Trump.
Trump’s important path to victory is to hope that 2024 is a repeat of 2016 and he flips the Blue Wall. There may be zero present indication at the moment that we’re on the highway.
Donald Trump has a Georgia downside and it may price him the election
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