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The variety of Londoners swapping the capital for a house within the countryside is at its lowest in additional than 10 years after a decade of speedy home value rises in the remainder of the UK.
London residents bought 5.7 per cent — or 57,020 — of the houses bought exterior the capital this 12 months, the bottom share since 2013 and almost half the Covid-era peak in 2021, in accordance with analysis by property agent Hamptons.
Property costs have risen 26 per cent in London over the previous decade, in contrast with 39 per cent elsewhere within the nation, in accordance with Hamptons, which analysed knowledge from about 650 branches of fellow property agent Countrywide.
“The capital’s householders haven’t had the housing market on their aspect in recent times,” mentioned Aneisha Beveridge, Hamptons’ head of analysis, including that “with a trophy house slipping out of attain” many had “opted to remain put”.
Along with larger property prices in different components of the UK, Marc von Grundherr, director at property agent Benham & Reeves, mentioned a return to in-person working after the pandemic had saved Londoners within the capital.
Londoners left smaller city houses in 2020 looking for extra space within the countryside, anticipating that work-from-home preparations would grow to be everlasting. However the finish of the pandemic led many companies to name on staff to get again to the workplace.
First-time consumers had been “the exception”, mentioned Beveridge, accounting for 31 per cent of Londoners buying houses exterior the capital this 12 months — greater than double the proportion in 2013.
The typical London home value £520,000 in October, in accordance with the Workplace for Nationwide Statistics, though the capital had the bottom annual home value inflation within the nation at 0.2 per cent.
Beveridge famous that the “excessive earnings and financial savings bar wanted to purchase a house in London has pushed extra aspiring householders to look past the capital”.
The preferred areas for first-time consumers from London had been commuter cities with good transport hyperlinks. Slightly below half of all consumers in Brentwood in Essex had been from London this 12 months, up from 23 per cent in 2019.
Property costs in components of central London have fallen over the previous decade, regardless that the capital stays by far the costliest a part of the nation.
Between 2013 and 2024, costs in South Kensington and Chelsea fell by 11 per cent and 4 per cent respectively, in accordance with property analyst LonRes. In Knightsbridge and Belgravia, costs this 12 months had been unchanged from 2013.
Neal Hudson, founding father of housing consultancy BuiltPlace, mentioned tax will increase from 2014 onwards had “hit the central London market laborious”.
“Turnover has fallen considerably and costs have been flat or adverse,” he mentioned, including that the market outlook for high-end properties was “a good distance off pre-2014 ranges”.
Von Grundherr, the property agent, mentioned extra house consumers he handled had been Londoners returning to the capital after leaving throughout the pandemic.
In 2021 London residents spent a document £55bn on housing exterior the capital. However von Grundherr mentioned his shoppers had been profiting from stagnant home costs to return, drawn by shorter commutes to the workplace and the cultural sights of the capital.
“We had a pair who bought their home in London 4 years in the past and moved to Hampshire,” he mentioned. “However they got here again in 2023 and purchased a home on the highway behind [where they used to live]. They paid virtually the identical value as after they bought in 2020.”